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Cross-Digest Rollup

Stock & Commodity Watchlist

Every entity below appeared in the Watchlist sections of recent DailySand digests. Rankings reflect editorial conviction — how often an item was flagged, whether it carried a dated catalyst, and whether it recurred in causal chains or key figures across the archive window.

50 entities across 30 digests·Sep 17, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026·Last 30 days (max 60)
All (50)Companies (46)Commodities (4)
#1

Anthropic

companyhigh conviction

IPO valuation response to METR audit disclosure; whether governance transparency commands a pricing premium

Catalyst
November IPO roadshow
When
November 2026

10/10

Conviction

18 digests · 19 mentions

Oct 16 – Sep 18

5 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →View digest →View digest →View digest →+14 more
#2

OpenAI

companyhigh conviction

Rosalind Academic Plan uptake at U.S. universities and conversion rate to paid enterprise contracts after the 12-month free period

Catalyst
Renewal announcements
When
October 2027

10/10

Conviction

19 digests · 19 mentions

Oct 16 – Sep 17

8 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →View digest →View digest →View digest →+15 more
#3

Nvidia

companymedium conviction

Nemotron 3.5 Super VL enterprise adoption and hardware attachment rate

Catalyst
Fine-tuning partner deployment announcements
When
November–December 2026

5/10

Conviction

7 digests · 7 mentions

Oct 15 – Sep 22

3 causal chains
View digest →View digest →View digest →View digest →+3 more
#4

Meta

companymedium conviction

IRS response to $3.9B experimental R&D tax credit classification for production AI data centers

Catalyst
NYT disclosure of internal auditor risk flags; FTC probe environment
When
Year-end tax filings and any IRS correspondence

4/10

Conviction

4 digests · 4 mentions

Sep 30 – Sep 24

4 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →View digest →View digest →View digest →
#5

Microsoft

companymedium conviction

Decision-1 commercial deployment scale and enterprise routing adoption

Catalyst
Azure product integration announcement
When
Q4 2026 earnings cycle

4/10

Conviction

4 digests · 4 mentions

Oct 10 – Sep 25

2 causal chains
View digest →View digest →View digest →View digest →
#6

Caledonia Mining

companylow conviction

whether revised 69,000–72,500 oz Zimbabwe guidance holds given Q3 shortfall and cost creep

Catalyst
Q4 production update
When
January 2027

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 11 – Oct 9

2 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#7

Federal Reserve

companylow conviction

December rate decision probability shifting; impact on industrial metals and gold divergence

Catalyst
September FOMC minutes released October 7; next CPI print
When
October CPI release; December 10–11 FOMC meeting

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 11 – Sep 17

1 causal chain
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#8

Google

companylow conviction

Gemini 4 "Carbon" public launch timeline and coding benchmark disclosures

Catalyst
Broader Gemini 4 rollout following Argon limited availability
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 10 – Oct 4

1 causal chain
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#9

NeoTerrex Minerals (TSXV: NTX)

companylow conviction

acquisition close and initial drill results at Reservoir tungsten-copper-gold project in Québec

Catalyst
Definitive agreement executed; drill program pending
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 11 – Oct 9

2 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#10

Sigma Lithium (SGML)

SGMLcompanylow conviction

Federal Court of Appeals ruling on environmental injunction

Catalyst
240,000-ton production guidance delay; October 25 Brazil election introduces appellate risk
When
October 25 election window; appellate decision expected within 30–60 days

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 4 – Oct 2

1 causal chain
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#11

TSMC

companylow conviction

leading-node allocation decisions among Nvidia, Apple, Broadcom, AMD

Catalyst
Q3 2026 earnings call capacity guidance
When
October 17, 2026

3/10

Conviction

3 digests · 3 mentions

Oct 15 – Oct 1

2 causal chains
View digest →View digest →View digest →
#12

Apex Critical Metals (CSE: APXC)

companylow conviction

Inaugural mineral resource estimate grade and tonnage at Trinity Zone

Catalyst
13 pending assay results from 37 completed holes
When
Q1 2027

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 5 – Oct 5

8 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#13

Appian Capital Advisory

companylow conviction

first critical minerals deal structured through new DC office with defense-linked advisers

Catalyst
Portfolio announcement
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 13 – Oct 13

4 causal chainsActive story thread1 key figure
View digest →
#14

Capital Limited

companylow conviction

contract drilling revenue trajectory amid metals exploration demand

Catalyst
Q4 2026 revenue guidance
When
January 2027

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 15 – Oct 15

4 causal chainsActive story thread1 key figure
View digest →
#15

Copper spot price

commoditylow conviction

response to AI capex data and Hormuz energy cost pass-through

Catalyst
Friedland supply-constraint update; LME inventory report
When
Week of September 22

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 20 – Sep 20

6 causal chainsActive story thread6 key figures
View digest →
#16

GPT-6 Astra / OpenAI

companylow conviction

RoboHarm refusal-rate remediation disclosure

Catalyst
Public safety benchmark now in record; regulatory response window open
When
30–60 days

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 19 – Sep 19

9 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#17

GPT-6-Astra / OpenAI

companylow conviction

autonomous physics research capability boundary; watch for follow-on TheoPhysEval replication by independent labs

Catalyst
Peer-reviewed publication of TheoPhysEval methodology
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 15 – Oct 15

9 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#18

Nvidia / H100 rental market

companylow conviction

whether H100 spot rental prices sustain current levels if enterprise AI demand growth moderates

Catalyst
A16z Jevons paradox data; next hyperscaler capex guidance
When
Q3 hyperscaler earnings, October–November 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 11 – Oct 11

6 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#19

OpenAI (DevDay enterprise pipeline)

companylow conviction

enterprise marketplace partner conversion rate across 32 announced partners; Pro 500 tier adoption vs. Microsoft 365 Copilot churn

Catalyst
Q4 enterprise renewal cycle
When
December 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 29 – Sep 29

10 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#20

OpenAI (security posture)

companylow conviction

criminal proceedings against arrested engineer and any disclosed scope of intelligence access

Catalyst
Federal indictment hearing
When
November 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 14 – Oct 14

9 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#21

OpenAI / ChatGPT Voice

companylow conviction

enterprise adoption metrics for GPT-6 Astra-powered email, calendar, and Slack integrations

Catalyst
OpenAI developer day or Q4 product briefing
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 23 – Sep 23

8 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#22

OpenAI / Microsoft

companylow conviction

fair use litigation posture after internal "substitutive" and "theft" characterizations enter the evidentiary record

Catalyst
Next court filing or summary judgment motion
When
Q4 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 18 – Sep 18

10 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#23

OpenAI / Microsoft Azure

companylow conviction

remediation timeline for model-reasoning exfiltration vector on cloud platform

Catalyst
Azure security patch disclosure or third-party verification of closure
When
October 2026

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 1 – Oct 1

10 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#24

Super Copper

commoditylow conviction

CUPRIX pilot-scale test results and any offtake — long-term purchase agreement — discussions with copper consumers

Catalyst
Progression from bench-scale to pilot facility
When
H1 2027

3/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 25 – Sep 25

5 causal chainsActive story thread2 key figures
View digest →
#25

Aleph Alpha

companylow conviction

Kolibri enterprise adoption rate and EU sovereign AI procurement wins

Catalyst
Apache 2.0 release enables commercial deployment immediately
When
Q4 2026

2/10

Conviction

2 digests · 2 mentions

Oct 5 – Oct 4

View digest →View digest →
#26

AMD

companylow conviction

integration timeline and Atlas model deployment roadmap post-World Labs close

Catalyst
Fei-Fei Li's first public statement as EVP/Chief Scientist
When
Q4 2026 earnings call, expected November

2/10

Conviction

2 digests · 2 mentions

Sep 29 – Sep 21

1 causal chain
View digest →View digest →
#27

Bitterroot Resources (TSXV:BTT)

companylow conviction

DoD-funded drill program commencement at LM nickel-copper project

Catalyst
C$2.4M private placement close and drill mobilization
When
October 2026

2/10

Conviction

2 digests · 2 mentions

Sep 20 – Sep 19

View digest →View digest →
#28

Ghana / GoldBod

companylow conviction

Gold export resumption and Bank of Ghana reserve trajectory

Catalyst
Monetary Policy Committee decision; oil price trajectory post-Hormuz
When
October MPC meeting

2/10

Conviction

2 digests · 2 mentions

Sep 24 – Sep 23

View digest →View digest →
#29

Google DeepMind

companylow conviction

Additional senior researcher departures and any public R&D pace policy response

Catalyst
Internal communications or further resignation statements
When
Ongoing; next 30 days

2/10

Conviction

2 digests · 2 mentions

Sep 25 – Sep 18

1 causal chain
View digest →View digest →
#30

African Development Bank / BMZ Railway Partnership

companylow conviction

project financing terms and corridor prioritization for critical minerals logistics

Catalyst
Partnership formation announced October 2; Mintek-Sci 2026 processing-capacity gap identified same day
When
Q1 2027 project framework publication

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 2 – Oct 2

3 causal chains
View digest →
#31

Applied Materials EPIC Center

companylow conviction

chipmaker tenant announcements and R&D partnership disclosures

Catalyst
Formal opening and co-investment announcements
When
Q4 2026 – Q1 2027

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 12 – Oct 12

6 causal chains2 key figures
View digest →
#32

Artemis Security (Orion-1)

companylow conviction

enterprise adoption rate among cybersecurity teams blocked by frontier model guardrails

Catalyst
Independent third-party benchmark validation beyond Artemis's own scoring
When
30–60 days

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 14 – Oct 14

3 causal chains
View digest →
#33

ArXiv / AI research volume

companylow conviction

enforcement of two-submission-per-month cap and effect on AI preprint quality signal

Catalyst
Cap effective October 2026
When
November 2026 submission data (first full month under new rule)

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 11 – Oct 11

1 causal chainActive story thread1 key figure
View digest →
#34

Bank of America

companylow conviction

scale and cost of AI-driven vulnerability remediation program

Catalyst
Q3 earnings disclosure of technology remediation spend
When
October 2026 earnings cycle

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 15 – Oct 15

2 causal chains
View digest →
#35

Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX)

companylow conviction

North Mara production guidance under renewed license and Mali Loulo-Gounkoto labor stability

Catalyst
New collective bargaining agreement signed; 15-year Tanzania renewal effective
When
Q3 2026 earnings call

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 5 – Oct 5

2 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →
#36

Base Labs / Hugging Face / Goodfire

companylow conviction

first published open-weight safety training and monitoring methods; adoption rate by open-model developers

Catalyst
Partnership research output
When
60–90 days post-announcement

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 17 – Sep 17

9 causal chains
View digest →
#37

Brazil Lithium Sector

commoditylow conviction

Sigma appellate outcome and spillover to other miners operating under Minas Gerais environmental licenses

Catalyst
NGO lawsuit and election outcome
When
October 25 election; appellate ruling window Q4 2026

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 3 – Oct 3

2 causal chains
View digest →
#38

Canada Investment Summit / Maple Fund

companylow conviction

Deployment of C$50B Maple Fund into critical infrastructure and strategic industries

Catalyst
C$500B mobilized; fund launched by CPP and Brookfield
When
H1 2027

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 19 – Sep 19

1 causal chainActive story thread2 key figures
View digest →
#39

Canamera Energy Metals (CSE:EMET)

companylow conviction

Turvolândia drill results and rights offering close

Catalyst
Next exploration update from Rose and six additional targets
When
Q4 2026

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 20 – Sep 20

5 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →
#40

Cerebras / General Compute

companylow conviction

contracted revenue disclosure and customer ramp timeline for wafer-scale cloud deployments

Catalyst
Multi-year agreement announced; financial terms undisclosed
When
Q4 2026 earnings cycle

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 2 – Oct 2

3 causal chains
View digest →
#41

CoreWeave

companylow conviction

options market put volume and equity price trajectory amid neocloud sector rotation

Catalyst
Next OpenAI infrastructure contract disclosure or renewal
When
November 2026 earnings

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 14 – Oct 14

1 causal chainActive story thread1 key figure
View digest →
#42

Critical Mineral Resources (CMRS.L)

companylow conviction

Next drill results from Agadir Melloul sediment-hosted copper zones and fault-controlled silver structure follow-up

Catalyst
Laboratory batch results pending
When
2–3 weeks

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 24 – Sep 24

2 causal chainsActive story thread
View digest →
#43

Deep Yellow

companylow conviction

revised FID timeline for Tumas uranium project in Namibia

Catalyst
Next quarterly update or equity market conditions shift
When
Q1 2027 guidance

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 16 – Oct 16

3 causal chains
View digest →
#44

Delta Air Lines

companylow conviction

2026 fuel cost guidance revision and hedging disclosures

Catalyst
Hurricane Isaias Gulf production impact; Q4 earnings
When
January 2027 earnings

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 9 – Oct 9

3 causal chains
View digest →
#45

Ero Copper (TSX: ERO)

commoditylow conviction

2026 production guidance delivery (67,500–77,500 tons); share price response to Burry disclosure and COMEX copper momentum

Catalyst
Burry September 22 Substack disclosure; COMEX copper at $6.6865/lb
When
Next quarterly production report

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 26 – Sep 26

3 causal chainsActive story thread2 key figures
View digest →
#46

FTC

companylow conviction

enforcement escalation path: subpoenas → consent decrees → product injunctions across AI labs

Catalyst
Formal probe with legally binding demands already issued
When
Q1 2027 procedural milestones

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 30 – Sep 30

3 causal chains
View digest →
#47

GaN power electronics suppliers

companylow conviction

design win announcements from hyperscale data center operators

Catalyst
Data center capex cycle procurement decisions
When
Q4 2026

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 21 – Sep 21

3 causal chains
View digest →
#48

Gold / Heraeus

companylow conviction

price trajectory relative to $4,250/oz support retest with Brent above $100

Catalyst
Middle East geopolitical developments and dollar index moves
When
Ongoing; watch weekly Heraeus Precious Appraisal

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Oct 12 – Oct 12

2 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →
#49

Gold Fields / Northern Star

companylow conviction

M&A outcome amid free cash flow divergence and Northern Star leadership transitions

Catalyst
Northern Star CEO succession announcement
When
Q4 2026

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 28 – Sep 28

2 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →
#50

Gold Majors (sector)

companylow conviction

generalist capital rotation into mining equities

Catalyst
S&P 500 valuation compression event; any pension fund reallocation announcement
When
Q4 2026–Q1 2027

2/10

Conviction

1 digest · 1 mention

Sep 27 – Sep 27

3 causal chains1 key figure
View digest →

How conviction is scored

Each entity receives a conviction score from 1–10 (10 = strongest editorial focus in the window). Scores weight multi-day Watchlist presence, explicit catalysts and timing windows, mentions in Interconnect causal chains, active story threads, and recurring key figures. Higher scores indicate stronger repeated editorial focus — not a buy/sell signal.

Observational themes and catalysts derived from DailySand digests — not investment advice. Verify all figures against primary sources before acting.

Machine-readable data: JSON aggregate API · MCP get_watchlist_aggregate